Assessing Palestinian Negotiations:
What’s at Stake?
By Diana Buttu
Negotiations Support Unit, Ramallah
24 March 2003
Where were we at the
negotiations?
With the end of the Washington talks in 1991 and the start of the Oslo agreements, the negotiations
started focusing more on power dynamics. It became less of an issue of law and
more of an issue of an imbalance of power.
Given that the Palestinians are the weaker party and Israel is stronger party, Israel has all the time on its hands and
the ability to create facts on the ground while the Palestinians only have one
thing: the law. Moving into the Oslo phase was a movement away from
international law into simply power-based negotiations. As much as one can be
critical of the Oslo agreements and their aftermath, I believe that what
led us down that path, particularly at Camp David and Taba,
were two things:
- The
lack of reference to international law on the part of Israel
- The
lack of demand by the international community for Israel to abide by international
law.
When the negotiation phase started with the U.S. taking the lead, the emphasis was
more on conflict management rather than conflict resolution. It was more about
getting the parties together, rather than actually addressing legal issues. The
Americans then saw it as an achievement that the Palestinians and Israelis were
talking together in the same room rather than focusing on international law and
Israel’s violations of it.
Hence, we saw more and more facts on the ground created, with the number
of settlers in the territories doubling between 1993 and 2000. Over the
seven-year period of negotiations, the number of housing units in the
settlements increased by 62%.
Not only did the United States ignore international law and Israel’s violations of it, the United States effectively ensured that it would
be the only party to play a role in negotiations. The European Union, Russia, the UN and Canada were marginalized during that
period.
At the same time human rights violations obviously continued.
There were more house demolitions during the seven year period; settlements
increased; the facts on the ground were proceeding at an alarming pace, all of
which lead to the current Intifada. I am not only
critical of the international community for not enforcing the Geneva
Conventions or doing what could have done to perhaps incentivize
Israel and Israelis from moving into the territories to moving out of Israel, I
am also critical of the Palestinian role in the negotiations process.
My first criticism is with respect to the institutions that
worked on the ground. Many of the institutions at the time, instead of focusing
on the occupation, had suddenly turned their emphasis to the P.A., leading to a
situation in which parties were blaming the Palestinian Authority, while nobody
was focusing on the fact that the P.A. is a security sub-contractor for Israel
and because of that there is a whole set of violations. Instead, there has been
focus on the Palestinian Authority (as if there was perhaps a state, focusing
the attention away from the occupation). There was focus by many NGOs that Israel was engaged in an “excessive use of
force,” thereby implying that some force against a captive civilian population
is acceptable.
The
second aspect which I am critical of the Palestinians has to do with
communications in Palestine and in the West. I am a Palestinian
Canadian and growing up in Canada I, like many others in Canada and the US, I was interested and active in
promoting the Palestinian quest for justice.
However, like many others, I ignored the situation in Palestine, in the mistaken belief that peace
would be achieved in 5 years and that the international community was finally
going to force Israel to abide by international law. Like a lot of people I stopped focusing on
the problem: the ongoing occupation and,
its intensification under the guise of “peace.”
The foreign media, of course, fostered that belief, by also
focusing on the “peace process” and ignoring Israel’s military occupation. Rather than continuing to focus on the
occupation, attention shifted to the signed agreements and to the
negotiations. This ended up to a
situation in which the vast majority of the people living outside Palestine had
no idea of that the Palestinians were still living under Israel’s military
occupation; what these consequences were and what the Palestinian position was
with respect to resolving the conflict. Instead it was seen by the vast
majority of people as simply an issue of two equal parties who would basically
negotiate and work together, and that this would somehow be resolved, again
ignoring the most fundamental aspect of this conflict: Israel’s failure to abide by international
law and the international community’s failure to enforce it.
The failure
of the media to accurately portray the occupation and the international
community’s abandonment of international law had an impact on
negotiations. There are two components
to any permanent status agreement:
geography and refugees. At Camp David it became clear that Israel, as buttressed by the United States, did not want to abide by
international law and did not see the Palestinians as equals. Instead it was
the opposite: because they did not recognize the Palestinians as equals,
because they saw Palestinians as simply a demographic or a security threat,
they were going to continue to demand further concessions from the
Palestinians, in violation of international law, while ignoring the very
important fact that the Palestinians had already compromised on 78% of their
territory and that Israel had not made a single concession regarding its
territory. On the issue of refugees, Israel refused to engage on the issue and
demanded that the Palestinians simply “give up” the right of return and ignore
the 53 year plight of the refugees.
Again there was a shift away from international law to power.
The US was very eager to put forward
“solutions” for the Palestinians to accept; solutions that simply fostered Israel’s goal of ridding itself of as many
Palestinians as possible while holding onto as much Palestinian land as
possible. These “solutions” not only
violate international law but would not have guaranteed the Palestinians a
viable state. There were proposals to divide geography-wise into four separate areas,
completely surrounded and controlled by Israel. Israel sought to have a
settlement (colony) blocs in the north from the Green Line to the Jordan Valley through Ariel, and in the south in
the area of Gush Etzion while also controlling most
of East Jerusalem and establishing a corridor of
control from East
Jerusalem
through Ma’ale Adumim to
the Jordan Valley.
With the Gaza Strip, the Palestinian “state” would have been divided
into four separate areas.
Everything
from water to air space would have been subject to Israeli control. In Jerusalem, the illegal settlements (colonies)
of East
Jerusalem
would have been legitimized, while Israel would simultaneously rid itself of
the Palestinian Christian and Muslim population of Jerusalem by making them citizens of the
Palestinian state. Their goal was
clear: we want the land but we don’t
want the people.
In Taba, which was the last negotiation that was held, the
situation was much the same. Many people say that there was more progress at Taba. This is true
when speaking of both of the issues: geography and refugees. Regarding geography, Israel still sought to take more
Palestinian land, particularly around Jerusalem and Ariel (in order to control
Palestinian water resources). Regarding
refugees, Israel recognized that the plight of
refugees must be dealt with in order to have a comprehensive peace
agreement. The view was to resolve the
Palestinian refugee crisis by giving Palestinian refugees “choices” and “options”
as to where they want to live. Four
options were presented:
-
Allow the refugees to go to the Palestinian state
-
Allow the refugees to staying where they were and work
towards rehabilitation/resettlement of the camps
-
Allow the refugees to immigrate to a third country
-
Allow the refugees to return to what is now Israel.
There was some discussion in terms of quotas and numbers. We
explained to the Israeli delegation that the refugee problem could not be
resolved by quotas and numbers because such formulas would undermine any
agreement. Given that our goal is to
seek a comprehensive agreement in which the peoples
of both sides, we explained that ignoring the rights of 4.5 million
Palestinians would not create a comprehensive agreement; only additional
conflict. Despite this progress, Israel continued to use power rather than
law during negotiations and failed to regard the Palestinians as equals. Israel, the more powerful party, continued
to impose its will on the weaker Palestinian side.
Where are we now?
My personal opinion is that the two-state solution is almost
dead. It has got to the point where there are over 200 colonies in the West
Bank, over 400,000 settlers in the West Bank, 200,000 alone in East Jerusalem,
Israel’s colonization of East Jerusalem has reached to the point where it is
leading to full Israeli control over Jerusalem, and continuing along the same
pattern of trying to get rid of as many Palestinians as possible but holding on
to as much of their land as possible.
This has made me reach to the conclusion that ending the
Palestinians alone cannot end Israel’s occupation. However, there is no
readiness on the part of the international community to stop Israel’s violations of international law, there is an electorate now in Israel that has shifted far more to the
right. This same electorate does not
view the settlements (colonies) as causing any harm and believes that Israel can simply undo everything with the
press of a button: they do not
understand Israel’s overall strategy; the permanent
damage that the settlements cause and the fact that Israel’s colonization and the wall are
making a two-state solution impossible.
I do not see a readiness on the part of the international
community to actually push for an end to Israel’s 36-year occupation. I think it a
stretch of the imagination to believe that the Palestinians, the weak, occupied
Palestinians can somehow end Israel’s occupation on their own. We need
help.
I also see that not only has the US washed its hands of trying to end
the occupation (though it continues to fund Israel’s occupation) but the rest of the
world has also washed its hands of the conflict. With the road map coming out,
it does not look very promising. It is simply demanding from the Palestinians
that they sometimes humanize themselves before the law becomes applicable. It
is asking Palestinians “to reform, to talk better, to look better, to change
all the security services” before international law is enforced against Israel.
This led to a situation where I think we are completely at the crossroads.
Where do we go from here?
We have two options:
- To
seek international support to continue along the same path of advocating
for a return to negotiations. I am critical of this. I do not think this
will happen, I do not think there is any desire on the part of the
international community to actually push Israel to stop the settlement
(colony) construction. Rather, the
international community expects us to negotiate our way out of the
occupation, while allowing Israel to continue its violations of
international law while the negotiations are underway. This option has not worked for the past
ten years and I do not see it changing overnight.
- Ending
the idea of separation as a means to resolve the conflict. For the past eighty years international
efforts to resolve the conflict have focused on “separation” rather than
on reconciliation. New efforts must
be developed to focus on justice rather than on continuing hegemony of one
party over the other.
I believe that we will need to seriously examine both
options in the coming months. Whatever
path is chosen, I think that the new leadership needs to take three important
steps at the outset:
1.
To spell out very clearly what kind of permanent status
agreement we want with Israel – whether continuing with the idea
of separation or moving towards reconciliation.
2.
How to deal with Israel’s ongoing occupation – spelling out
how the leadership intends to confront Israel’s brutal occupation (i.e. through
nonviolent resistance or otherwise)
3.
What the Palestinian state is going to look like - What kind
of society are we going to create – what type of constitution or laws we want
and what role will Israel and Israelis have on our future
state.
Without clarity on these issues, it will be difficult to
move ahead. As one journalist told me
yesterday, it is not a crime to admit the mistakes you made in the past but it
is a crime to lie about it and to act as though there have been no mistakes.
Those 3 things are very much lacking. We need to clearly
spell out what it is that we want, how it is that we intend to achieve it and
how our future is going to look like.